Energy Price Forecast Under the Impact of Iran Tensions: Romanian Industry Contracts as Brussels Anticipates a Long-Lasting Shock — NRG-IA

Macroeconomic Context: A Long-Lasting Energy Shock The energy market, including the natural gas and electricity sectors, is undergoing a profound reconfiguration, dictated by a convergence of geopolitical crises and internal structural vulnerabilities. Although consumers' immediate attention is often drawn to daily fluctuations at the pump, market fundamentals indicate a prolonged period of high costs. The European Commission has already issued a clear warning in this regard. In a recent statement to the Financial Times , the European Commissioner for Energy stressed that the European Union is preparing for a long-lasting energy shock. According to the analysis of European officials, member states must ensure they have the necessary resources to face a prolonged crisis, with extreme measures such as fuel rationing and the release of strategic reserves being taken into consideration. This European context sets the baseline forecast for natural gas and energy prices in Romania:…